Thursday, September 13, 2012
It's always a bit tough to sort through week one results and make sense of them. But, hey, that's why you pay such a premium for this service...huh...oh, it's free. Forgot about that. But slog through them we shall, bestowing upon you our Even Steven picks which you so richly deserve. Week Two...Make it work for you...Enjoy!
Bears (+5.5) v. PACKERS
Man...are the Packers that bad or are the 49ers that good? Not sure, the Pack did come back at the end. We're leaning towards the 49ers are that good right now. The Pack can't afford to start out 0-2, can they? Is this a "must win" already for them in week 2? The Bears D is not San Fran's, but their offense is more explosive and it's certainly much better balanced than the Pack's. We really, really don't want to bet against Aaron Rodgers at home after tough loss to start the season. But 5.5 points is a lot.
BTPC pick: Bears getting the 5.5
BENGALS (-7) v. Browns
Two teams that did not look good last week. The difference being, the Bengals played the Ravens who are pretty damn good, while the Browns played the Eagles who are not.
BTPC pick: BENGALS laying the 7.
Chiefs (+3) v. BILLS
Seems the CW on this would be to take the Chiefs. But we think week one for the Bills was a bit of an aberration. We don't think they're gonna be gangbusters, but we also don't think the Jets are that good. That game just got out of hand quickly and the Bills D just played horribly. We're gonna give the Bills D at home one more chance before bailing on them.
BTPC pick: BILLS laying the 3.
Vikings (-3) v. COLTS
The Vikings looked feisty last week. The Colts got lost handedly to a team we just watched get manhandled on Thursday night.
BTPC pick: Vikings laying the 3.
DOLPHINS (+2.5) v. Raiders
Here's the deal with last week for the Dolphins. They really did not look that terrible. They were running the ball well and the D was playing the Texans tough. Tannehill did not look RGIII special, but he also wasn't making terrible rookie mistakes. Then, Thomas fumbled for the Dolphins and THill had the tipped balls. Oakland is coming off a short week, traveling all the way to Miami, playing a 1 pm game in the Miami heat & humidity, in their black uniforms. This game is totally set up for a Miami win...
BTPC pick: UPSET SPECIAL. Dolphins getting the 2.5.
PATRIOTS (-13.5) v. Cardinals
Kevin Kolb will be back in a starting role for the Cardinals. Let us repeat that: Kevin Kolb will be back in a starting role for the Cardinals.
BTPC pick: PATRIOTS laying 13.5
Bucs (+7) v. GIANTS
Great stat from the Sportsguy: Dating back to the beginning of the 2006 season, the Giants are 32-17 on the road and 25-23 at home. The Bucs look chippy. The Giants play down at home. 7 points is a lot...
BTPC pick: Bucs getting 7.
PANTHERS (+2.5) v. Saints
We're gonna give the Saints one more week before we start questioning if the suspensions are gonna blow up the season as opposed to being a rallying cry. We're gonna believe Drew Brees rallies the troops.
BTPC pick: Saints laying 2.5
Ravens (+2) v. EAGLES
The Browns intercepted Michael Vick 4 times. This just in...the Ravens are a much better Defense than Cleveland. The fact that Vegas wants to give you two points on this one...well, that's like getting free money. You like free money, don't you?
BTPC pick: UPSET SPECIAL PART TWO! Ravens getting 2 (Hey...if they're gonna give you 2 pts, we're gonna call it an upset...)
JAGUARS (+7) v. Texans
Wonder what this line would be if Jacksonville actually had a home field...
BTPC pick: Texans laying 7.
RAMS (+3.5) v. Redskins
The Skins are basically running Baylor's offense. Now that they've shown that hand, NFL defensive coordinators have tape on it. RGIII is gonna be in a dome, it's gonna be loud and it's gonna be against a game Rams D. If he pulls this off, he's really gonna start to look special...
BTPC pick: RAMS getting 3.5.
SEAHAWKS (+3) v. Cowboys
Hawks at home are good. Dallas shocked everyone in week one. Romo returns to the scene of the crime (the botched hold) that still hangs over his head. Hmmm...
BTPC pick: Cowboys laying 3.
Jets (+5.5) v. STEELERS
We're not buying the Jets. They hired Tony Sparano to be their offensive mastermind. He's not one.
BTPC pick: STEELERS laying 5.5
CHARGERS (-6.5) v. Titans
The Chargers were a long-snapper's FU away from losing. That Titans D looked fired up against the Pats. Even if Locker is out, Hasselbeck, when healthy, ain't chopped liver.
BTPC pick: Titans getting 6.5
49ERS (-7) v. Lions
If didn't catch that Frank Deford piece on NPR the other day, here's a link to it. What's it say? Not much, just that in evening games, West Coast teams have won against the spread 70% of the time over the last 25 years. You heard me, palooka. 70% of the time. For a quarter century. It's like we're giving you money here...
BTPC pick: 49ers laying the 7.
FALCONS (-3) v. Broncos
Are the Falcons for real or is Peyton really, really back. When in doubt, go with the QB who hasn't had 4 neck surgeries in the last year...
BTPC pick: FALCONS laying 3.
Season to Date: 8-8-0 Upset Specials: 0-1
Career to Date: 394-369-29
at 9:16 AM